Protests could raise instability, analysts say

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The projection of new protests against and in favor of the Jair Bolsonaro government on the country’s streets could pose a threat to the pursuit of stability. This is the assessment of political scientists heard by the report.

“If society gets into a spiral of protests for and against, it will further strain the already frayed governance. It’s worrying,” says political scientist Rodrigo Prando of Mackenzie University in Sao Paulo. “Everything goes into a quantitative perspective: who can take more people to the street, and not a qualitative perspective, to think about overcoming the crises of the country. This escalation of manifestations can deepen the crisis paralyzing the country. Successive manifestations generate instability.”

The political scientist José Alvaro Moisés, from USP, states that there has been a tendency for street acts since 2013. “The trend of street demonstrations in Brazil has been intensifying since 2013. In a sense, it is an awakening of a more active citizenship, regardless of the ideological position of the participants. In the Bolsonaro government, this seems to grow because the government itself encourages demonstrations, without realizing that this may be a trap for a fragile government, which is misjudged.”

“This is the dispute for media space,” says political scientist Kleber Carrilho of the Methodist University of São Paulo. “Political issues are negotiated in other venues. Apart from the show, this Sunday was not very important. As in the case of the opposition, which has been manifesting but has no proposal presented. So, we are living in this environment of a ‘political’ truth and a policy of social networks, the media environment, so the instability of the Bolsonaro government remains equal to or greater than it already existed.”

In the opinion of Fernando Luiz Abrucio, from the Getúlio Vargas Foundation, the political environment remains unchanged after the acts, without changes in the power play between Executive and Legislative. “Congress has not been pressured by the movement. It has embarrassed the president rather than showing strength. It is a relevant group, but it is smaller on the streets than other groups like the Centrão and the opposition,” noted the political scientist. “Bolsonaro is neither Dilma nor Fear. He still has some popular support, despite being smaller than October. Congress knows this,” says Abrucio.

“It is counterproductive to be looking for comparisons between the number of people who took to the streets on the 26th and the number of people who protested against the government on the 15th. It is an exercise that only separates society into two frozen, incommunicado blocks,” says the scientist. politician Marco Aurélio Nogueira in his blog at Estadão.

Kauê S Martins

I am fluent in English and work as a part-time writer for Urgence News. As someone who has lived in Brazil for my whole life, I have a deep understanding of this country and am able to give an objective take on what is happening here.

Mailing address: Rua PB 6 504, Goiânia, Goiás 74590-025
Phone number: (62) 2523-9336
Email: kaue@urgence.tv
Kauê S Martins

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    About Kauê S Martins

    I am fluent in English and work as a part-time writer for Urgence News. As someone who has lived in Brazil for my whole life, I have a deep understanding of this country and am able to give an objective take on what is happening here. Mailing address: Rua PB 6 504, Goiânia, Goiás 74590-025 Phone number: (62) 2523-9336 Email: kaue@urgence.tv